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Economical | A Logic Blog | Can Başkent

Can Başkent

Economical

Climate Change

A utilitarian approach to a basic and fundamental problem of climate change leaves us with undesired (and I must say unacceptable) consequences. The following is from Wagner and Weitzman's book "The Economic Consequences of a Hotter Planet":

"Why act, if your actions cost you more than they benefit you personally? Total benefits of your actions may outweigh costs. Yet benefits get spread across seven billion others, while you incur the full costs. The same logic holds for everybody else. Too few are going to do what is in the common interest. Everyone else free rides"



A deontic/paraconsistent/deontologic logic of obligations may present a decent analysis of this issue, it seems.

Sweatshop Workers

Adult workers take jobs in these unpleasant, low-wage manufacturing facilities voluntarily. (I am not writing about forced labor or child labor, both of which are different cases.) So one of two things must be true. Either (1) workers take unpleasant jobs in sweatshops because it is the best employment option they have; or (2) Asian sweatshop workers are persons of weak intellect who have many more attractive job offers but choose to work in sweatshops instead. Most arguments against globalization implicitly assume number two. The protesters smashing windows in Seattle were trying to make the case that workers in the developing world would be better off if we curtailed international trade, thereby closing down the sweatshops that churn out shoes and handbags for those of us in the developed world. But how exactly does that make workers in poor countries better off.



From Wheelan Charles, “Naked Economics

Smart Players?

Fundamental to von Neumann's approach was the assumption that both players were as clever as von Neumann himself. (...)The second problem is that game theory becomes less useful if your opponent is fallible. If player two is not an expert, player one should play to exploit his mistakes rather than defend against brilliant strategies that will never be found. The worse the opponent, the less useful the theory is.


It is a nice quote, isn’t it?

From Logic of Life.

"Logic" of Life

There is nothing irrational about love; indeed, without our passions and our principles, where would the motivation come from to make rational choices about anything? So a world explained by economists is not a world lacking love, hate, or any other emotion. (...) If you’ve read some of the criticisms of economics, you may be starting to fear that you're reading a book about an infamous character by the name of Homo economicus, or "economic man." He's the caricature of what economists are generally supposed to assume about people. Homo economicus doesn't understand human emotions like love, friendship, or charity, or even envy, hate, or anger-only selfishness and greed. He knows his own mind, never makes mistakes, and has unlimited willpower. And he's capable of performing impossibly complex financial calculations instantaneously and infallibly. Homo economicus is the kind of guy who would strangle his own grandmother for a dollar - assuming it didn't take more than a dollar's worth of time, of course.



Logic of Life, raises interesting questions, and lists so many “mistakes” that people make when it comes to “rational choice”. After reading that book, I remember that I felt that the Platonic idea of human rationality and perfectness should be discarded from logic which was thought as a study of how humans should think. Our early ideas of human perfectness captured logic, and then logic got powerful and re-dictated a more complicated version of this perfection back to people. And the result is a mess.

They still call it “non-classical logic”!

Irrational Sex

Take sex, for instance. We may have it free in the social context, where it is, we hope, warm and emotionally nourishing. But there's also market sex, sex that is on demand and that costs money. This seems pretty straightforward. We don't have husbands (or wives) coming home asking for a $50 trick; nor do we have prostitutes hoping for everlasting love.When social and market norms collide, trouble sets in. Take sex again. A guy takes a girl out for dinner and a movie, and he pays the bills. They go out again, and he pays the bills once more. They go out a third time, and he's still springing for the meal and the entertainment. At this point, he's hoping for at least a passionate kiss at the front door. His wallet is getting perilously thin, but worse is what's going on in his head: he's having trouble reconciling the social norm (courtship) with the market norm (money for sex). On the fourth date he casually mentions how much this romance is costing him. Now he's crossed the line. Violation! She calls him a beast and storms off. He should have known that one can't mix social and market norms—especially in this case—without implying that the lady is a tramp. He should also have remembered the immortal words of Woody Allen: "The most expensive sex is free sex."



Predictably Irrational was one of the first books I read on the subject. And it has a deep game theoretical flavor.

Social norms or conditions should be introduced to game theoretical setting - I think everyone should agree with that.

For me, the real problem is to formalize Kantian deontology within game theory and logic. The crucial point of achieving this should in no way resort to utilitarian value theory obviously. Namely, if we follow Kantian normativity and perform a good action, we should not be doing that good action just because it gives us more “utility’. Then, what is the mathematical modeling of it? What mathematical formulation explains it?

Irrational Economics

The dominant economic paradigm, neoclassical economics, became ascendant in part because it offered a theory of behavior that could be teased out in elegant formulation. Yet it rests on assumptions that are patently ridiculous: that individuals are rational and utility-maximizing (which has become a slippery notion as to be meaningless), that buyers and sellers have perfect information, that there are no transaction costs, that capital flows freely. (Econned, Yves Smity, p. 20)



I’ve been reading ECONned for a while already, and I started to realize more and more that irrationality and inconsistency play much more important roles in our lives and in politics than it is thought. The reason is not as intuitive as it looks. The mathematical and logical formalization of human behavior, both at individual and social levels, are far from being formalized. Sure, you can point at some attempts, some not-so-intertesting and some heavily-mathematical-so-nonsensical endeavors, but, still my point prevails.

I maintain, and it is part of my research program, that inconsistent games - with some influence from behavioral economics, cognitive science, and more importantly from paraconsistent logics - do provide that. A blog post is no place to go into such details, yet, some pointers may help.

The idea is simple: game theory and its cousins attempt at formalizing human behavior and interactive and rational decisions. Yet, they analyze the phenomenon in such a vacuum - a vacuum that people even make fun of ruthlessly, and unfortunately rightfully. The crazy observation is the fact that the game theory has a huge yet unfounded assumption about human rationality and game play, but very few people loudly points it out. Behavioral economics, for pretty much the same reasons, is also pushed into its own borders so that it can be tamed; game theory, on the other hand, is unjustly praised just because it is mathematically solid - to some extent.

This bigotry of traditional, conservative and old-school game theorists and economists seem to forget a very fundamental principle of Renaissance ideal of scientific discourse, and I believe, now it is time to remind them. The only meaningful way of achieving this is to present a solid and philosophically and mathematically justified theory that can both explain the classical and neoclassical and non-classical phenomena.

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